MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Eric Lauer wins 1 (ERA); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Lauer
91.1
Ryne Nelson
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
9.7%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
15.5%
Ryne Nelson
17.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
33.1%
Ryne Nelson
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
36.0%
Ryne Nelson
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
11.0%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Lauer
.342
Ryne Nelson
.351
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Lauer
4.236.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.72
Ryne Nelson
4.236.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.93
WHIPlower is better
Eric Lauer
1.111.47
now 1.39
1.33
Ryne Nelson
1.111.47
now 1.19
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Lauer
4072.80
now 30
0
Ryne Nelson
4072.80
now 52
0
Winshigher is better
Eric Lauer
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Ryne Nelson
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.83
Sell HighRyne Nelson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.88
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