MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Max Scherzer
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Max Scherzer wins 1 (ERA); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Max Scherzer
93.0
Ryne Nelson
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Max Scherzer
10.1%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Max Scherzer
18.1%
Ryne Nelson
17.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Max Scherzer
32.2%
Ryne Nelson
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Max Scherzer
33.8%
Ryne Nelson
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Max Scherzer
8.8%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Max Scherzer
.320
Ryne Nelson
.351
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Max Scherzer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.23
4.26
Ryne Nelson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.92
WHIPlower is better
Max Scherzer
.9701.95
now 1.73
1.40
Ryne Nelson
.9701.95
now 1.19
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Max Scherzer
4072.80
now 14
0
Ryne Nelson
4072.80
now 52
0
Winshigher is better
Max Scherzer
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Ryne Nelson
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellMax Scherzer — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighRyne Nelson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.88
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