MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Max Scherzer
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Max Scherzer wins 1 (ERA); Steven Matz wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Max Scherzer
93.0
Steven Matz
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Max Scherzer
10.1%
Steven Matz
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Max Scherzer
18.1%
Steven Matz
17.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Max Scherzer
32.2%
Steven Matz
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Max Scherzer
33.8%
Steven Matz
35.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Max Scherzer
8.8%
Steven Matz
10.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Max Scherzer
.320
Steven Matz
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Max Scherzer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.23
4.26
Steven Matz
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.74
WHIPlower is better
Max Scherzer
1.041.93
now 1.73
1.40
Steven Matz
1.041.93
now 1.24
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Max Scherzer
4049
now 14
0
Steven Matz
4049
now 35
0
Winshigher is better
Max Scherzer
.0005.60
now 1
0–0
Steven Matz
.0005.60
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellMax Scherzer — hold.conf 0.60
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.84
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