Rest of Season Projection
EricCategoryKyle
81K →88
4.96ERA ←5.49
1.40WHIP ←1.42
3–6W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
EricCategoryKyle
30K →46
5.95ERA →4.25
1.39WHIP ←1.56
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eric Lauer
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.42 +1.32 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kyle Leahy
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.24 +2.14 vs league with no luck excuse
Eric Lauer: 81 K / 4.96 ERA. Kyle Leahy: 88 K / 5.49 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).