MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Adrian Houser wins 1 (WHIP); Luis Severino wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Houser
95.7
Luis Severino
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
8.4%
Luis Severino
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
16.0%
Luis Severino
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
25.8%
Luis Severino
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
42.0%
Luis Severino
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
8.7%
Luis Severino
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Houser
.339
Luis Severino
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Houser
3.596.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
4.65
Luis Severino
3.596.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.22
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Houser
1.271.64
now 1.56
1.35
Luis Severino
1.271.64
now 1.47
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Houser
4091
now 35
0
Luis Severino
4091
now 65
0
Winshigher is better
Adrian Houser
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Luis Severino
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdrian Houser — sell.conf 0.81
Hold · leans sellLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet