Rest of Season Projection
GrantCategorySlade
101K ←87
4.24ERA ←4.44
1.37WHIP ←1.38
4–8W3–7
0SV0
Current Season
GrantCategorySlade
53K ←50
3.95ERA ←5.25
1.33WHIP ←1.49
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Grant Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.32 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Slade Cecconi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.332 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Grant Holmes: 101 K / 4.24 ERA. Slade Cecconi: 87 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).