Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJR
60K →65
4.28ERA →4.13
1.34WHIP →1.32
4–8W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJR
19K →21
6.11ERA →4.56
1.64WHIP →1.44
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Williamson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.55 is 0.44 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
JR Ritchie
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.71)
Williamson projects for 60 K / 4.28 ERA against Ritchie's 65 K / 4.13 ERA — slight edges for Ritchie. The sell-high verdict on Williamson and hold on Ritchie reflect the gap.