Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryLuis
60K →96
4.28ERA ←4.62
1.34WHIP1.34
4–8W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryLuis
19K →56
6.11ERA →5.53
1.64WHIP →1.45
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Williamson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.55 is 0.44 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Luis Castillo
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.90 +0.80 vs league with no luck excuse
Brandon Williamson: 60 K / 4.28 ERA. Luis Castillo: 96 K / 4.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).