Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryConnor
59K →81
4.28ERA →4.07
1.34WHIP ←1.35
3–7W ←1–3
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryConnor
19K →35
6.11ERA →5.13
1.64WHIP →1.35
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Williamson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.58 is 0.47 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Connor Prielipp
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.07)
Brandon Williamson: 59 K / 4.28 ERA. Connor Prielipp: 81 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).