MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Jared Jones
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jared Jones.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Carmen Mlodzinski’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jared Jones wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Carmen Mlodzinski wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Jared Jones
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.7%
Jared Jones
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.3%
Jared Jones
24.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.5%
Jared Jones
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.0%
Jared Jones
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.5%
Jared Jones
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.337
Jared Jones
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.55
Jared Jones
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.38
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.9902.39
now 1.42
1.38
Jared Jones
.9902.39
now 2.08
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4092.80
now 46
57
Jared Jones
4092.80
now 6
68
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.0009.80
now 4
37
Jared Jones
.0009.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.76
Hold · wait & seeJared Jones — hold.conf 0.50
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