MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luis Severino wins 2 (K, ERA); Mitch Keller wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luis Severino
96.9
Mitch Keller
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
10.9%
Mitch Keller
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
24.0%
Mitch Keller
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luis Severino
31.3%
Mitch Keller
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
38.7%
Mitch Keller
42.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
8.7%
Mitch Keller
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luis Severino
.318
Mitch Keller
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luis Severino
3.895.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.19
Mitch Keller
3.895.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.83
WHIPlower is better
Luis Severino
1.051.59
now 1.47
1.41
Mitch Keller
1.051.59
now 1.17
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luis Severino
4075.40
now 65
49
Mitch Keller
4075.40
now 51
39
Winshigher is better
Luis Severino
.0006.60
now 2
12
Mitch Keller
.0006.60
now 5
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.89
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