MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Jared Jones
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jared Jones.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Mitch Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jared Jones wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Mitch Keller wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jared Jones
98.6
Mitch Keller
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
15.7%
Mitch Keller
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
22.7%
Mitch Keller
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jared Jones
29.9%
Mitch Keller
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
40.8%
Mitch Keller
41.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
9.2%
Mitch Keller
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jared Jones
.338
Mitch Keller
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jared Jones
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.38
4.10
Mitch Keller
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.65
WHIPlower is better
Jared Jones
.9002.44
now 2.08
1.30
Mitch Keller
.9002.44
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jared Jones
40105.40
now 6
77
Mitch Keller
40105.40
now 51
61
Winshigher is better
Jared Jones
.00011.20
now 0
00
Mitch Keller
.00011.20
now 5
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJared Jones — hold.conf 0.50
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.81
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