MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Miller wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Mitch Keller wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Miller
96.5
Mitch Keller
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
17.0%
Mitch Keller
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
33.1%
Mitch Keller
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
37.9%
Mitch Keller
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
27.9%
Mitch Keller
41.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
7.7%
Mitch Keller
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Miller
.237
Mitch Keller
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Miller
25.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.71
4.08
Mitch Keller
25.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.65
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Miller
.9001.57
now 0.86
1.30
Mitch Keller
.9001.57
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Miller
4077.40
now 20
47
Mitch Keller
4077.40
now 51
61
Winshigher is better
Bryce Miller
.00010.80
now 1
24
Mitch Keller
.00010.80
now 5
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBryce Miller — hold.conf 0.50
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.81
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