MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mitch Keller wins 2 (WHIP, W); Shane Baz wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitch Keller
93.3
Shane Baz
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
9.7%
Shane Baz
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
17.7%
Shane Baz
20.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
29.4%
Shane Baz
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
42.3%
Shane Baz
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
7.4%
Shane Baz
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitch Keller
.355
Shane Baz
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitch Keller
3.935.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.97
Shane Baz
3.935.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.23
WHIPlower is better
Mitch Keller
1.071.53
now 1.17
1.38
Shane Baz
1.071.53
now 1.43
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitch Keller
4066.60
now 51
33
Shane Baz
4066.60
now 57
38
Winshigher is better
Mitch Keller
.0006.60
now 5
24
Shane Baz
.0006.60
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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