MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 23, 2026
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Baz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Mitch Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Mitch Keller wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitch Keller
93.4
Shane Baz
96.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
9.8%
Shane Baz
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
18.4%
Shane Baz
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
28.7%
Shane Baz
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
41.0%
Shane Baz
40.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
6.4%
Shane Baz
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitch Keller
.345
Shane Baz
.334
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitch Keller
4.134.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.70
Shane Baz
4.134.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.46
WHIPlower is better
Mitch Keller
1.071.53
now 1.17
1.39
Shane Baz
1.071.53
now 1.43
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitch Keller
4091.60
now 51
68
Shane Baz
4091.60
now 57
80
Winshigher is better
Mitch Keller
.00011.80
now 5
49
Shane Baz
.00011.80
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.83
SellShane Baz — sell.conf 0.72
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