MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Yusei Kikuchi
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Yusei Kikuchi.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Mitch Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Yusei Kikuchi wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Mitch Keller wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitch Keller
93.4
Yusei Kikuchi
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
9.8%
Yusei Kikuchi
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
18.4%
Yusei Kikuchi
23.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
28.7%
Yusei Kikuchi
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
41.0%
Yusei Kikuchi
42.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
6.4%
Yusei Kikuchi
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitch Keller
.345
Yusei Kikuchi
.340
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitch Keller
3.516.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.69
Yusei Kikuchi
3.516.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.81
4.17
WHIPlower is better
Mitch Keller
1.011.74
now 1.17
1.39
Yusei Kikuchi
1.011.74
now 1.58
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitch Keller
4090.40
now 51
69
Yusei Kikuchi
4090.40
now 33
74
Winshigher is better
Mitch Keller
.00012.60
now 5
49
Yusei Kikuchi
.00012.60
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.82
Hold · wait & seeYusei Kikuchi — hold.conf 0.55
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