MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Mitch Keller wins 1 (ERA); Tomoyuki Sugano wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitch Keller
93.3
Tomoyuki Sugano
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
9.7%
Tomoyuki Sugano
9.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
17.7%
Tomoyuki Sugano
14.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
29.4%
Tomoyuki Sugano
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
42.3%
Tomoyuki Sugano
43.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
7.4%
Tomoyuki Sugano
11.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitch Keller
.355
Tomoyuki Sugano
.377
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitch Keller
3.396.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
5.01
Tomoyuki Sugano
3.396.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.01
5.56
WHIPlower is better
Mitch Keller
1.091.46
now 1.17
1.38
Tomoyuki Sugano
1.091.46
now 1.25
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitch Keller
4071.40
now 51
0
Tomoyuki Sugano
4071.40
now 31
0
Winshigher is better
Mitch Keller
.0007
now 5
0–0
Tomoyuki Sugano
.0007
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.90
SellTomoyuki Sugano — sell.conf 0.90
Tweet