Rest of Season Projection
MitchCategoryRyan
82K ←61
4.38ERA →4.19
1.35WHIP →1.30
5–10W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
MitchCategoryRyan
51K ←19
4.35ERA ←4.85
1.17WHIP ←1.31
5W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mitch Keller
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.53 +0.43 vs league with no luck excuse
Ryan Feltner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.67 is 1.45 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitch Keller: 82 K / 4.38 ERA. Ryan Feltner: 61 K / 4.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).