Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Mitch Keller wins 1 (WHIP); Seth Lugo wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitch Keller
93.3
Seth Lugo
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
9.7%
Seth Lugo
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
17.7%
Seth Lugo
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
29.4%
Seth Lugo
25.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
42.3%
Seth Lugo
42.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
7.4%
Seth Lugo
7.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitch Keller
.355
Seth Lugo
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitch Keller
2.965.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
5.02
Seth Lugo
2.965.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.74
WHIPlower is better
Mitch Keller
1.061.55
now 1.17
1.38
Seth Lugo
1.061.55
now 1.35
1.44
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitch Keller
4084
now 51
0
Seth Lugo
4084
now 60
0
Winshigher is better
Mitch Keller
.0007
now 5
0–0
Seth Lugo
.0007
now 2
0–0
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.90
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.85

