MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 2, 2026
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Seth Lugo wins 1 (ERA); Spencer Arrighetti wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Seth Lugo
91.7
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Seth Lugo
8.6%
Spencer Arrighetti
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Seth Lugo
17.8%
Spencer Arrighetti
21.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Seth Lugo
25.3%
Spencer Arrighetti
26.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Seth Lugo
42.8%
Spencer Arrighetti
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Seth Lugo
7.9%
Spencer Arrighetti
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Seth Lugo
.343
Spencer Arrighetti
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Seth Lugo
26.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.74
Spencer Arrighetti
26.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.88
WHIPlower is better
Seth Lugo
1.011.56
now 1.35
1.44
Spencer Arrighetti
1.011.56
now 1.13
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Seth Lugo
4084
now 60
0
Spencer Arrighetti
4084
now 43
0
Winshigher is better
Seth Lugo
.0009.80
now 2
0–0
Spencer Arrighetti
.0009.80
now 7
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.85
SellSpencer Arrighetti — sell.conf 0.90
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