week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %17.4%—−5.7% ▼vs his ~23.1% career norm
- Walk %7.4%—+0.6% ▲vs his ~6.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.08 +0.98 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
508 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
508 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.344
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —
685 / 200 TBF
xERA5.08
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.98vs his norm —
685 / 200 TBF
ERA5.04
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.94vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
159 / 200 IP
Strikeout %17.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.6%vs his norm −5.7% ▼
685 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm +0.6% ▲
685 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.329
lg avg .295 ▲+.034vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
508 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
685 / 60 TBF
Chase %25.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
685 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.3 mphvs his norm —
2615 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 17.4%→18.7%signal12 K — K% 17.4% (signal) lifted to career ~23.1% → projected 18.7% over ~13 remaining IP.
xERA 5.08signal4.74 ERA — xERA 5.08 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 71 IP.
BB% 7.4% + contactsignal1.43 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.317 gives a 1.50 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop12 K ROS, 4.74 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.