Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategorySeth
163K ←100
2.19ERA ←4.67
0.98WHIP ←1.37
6–13W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategorySeth
108K ←60
1.65ERA ←3.55
0.79WHIP ←1.35
6W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Seth Lugo
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.98 +0.88 vs league with no luck excuse
Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Seth Lugo: 100 K / 4.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).