Who's more valuable, rest of season
David Peterson.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Seth Lugo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
David Peterson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Seth Lugo wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Peterson
92.2
Seth Lugo
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Peterson
10.3%
Seth Lugo
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Peterson
19.4%
Seth Lugo
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Peterson
31.3%
Seth Lugo
26.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Peterson
43.3%
Seth Lugo
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Peterson
6.7%
Seth Lugo
11.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Peterson
.339
Seth Lugo
.355
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Peterson
2.905.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.18
4.54
Seth Lugo
2.905.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.88
WHIPlower is better
David Peterson
1.251.69
now 1.59
1.44
Seth Lugo
1.251.69
now 1.35
1.36
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Peterson
43.6099.40
now 56
87
Seth Lugo
43.6099.40
now 60
83
Winshigher is better
David Peterson
.4007.60
now 3
3–6
Seth Lugo
.4007.60
now 2
2–4
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellDavid Peterson — sell.conf 0.75
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90