Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategorySeth
67K →95
5.13ERA →4.83
1.31WHIP ←1.36
3–7W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategorySeth
44K →60
2.98ERA ←3.55
1.10WHIP ←1.35
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.69 is 2.71 above the ERA — regression coming
Seth Lugo
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.23 +1.13 vs league with no luck excuse
Michael McGreevy: 67 K / 5.13 ERA. Seth Lugo: 95 K / 4.83 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).