MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Chris Bassitt
Chris Bassitt
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chris Bassitt wins 2 (ERA, W); Seth Lugo wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Bassitt
91.5
Seth Lugo
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Bassitt
9.7%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Bassitt
14.2%
Seth Lugo
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Bassitt
24.4%
Seth Lugo
24.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Bassitt
34.5%
Seth Lugo
43.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Bassitt
4.1%
Seth Lugo
9.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Bassitt
.344
Seth Lugo
.357
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Bassitt
2.955.66
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
4.73
Seth Lugo
2.955.66
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
5.02
WHIPlower is better
Chris Bassitt
1.261.67
now 1.58
1.47
Seth Lugo
1.261.67
now 1.35
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Bassitt
4069.60
now 36
43
Seth Lugo
4069.60
now 60
52
Winshigher is better
Chris Bassitt
.0006.60
now 4
35
Seth Lugo
.0006.60
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellChris Bassitt — sell.conf 0.84
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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