MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Patrick Corbin wins 1 (WHIP); Seth Lugo wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
91.3
Seth Lugo
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
10.0%
Seth Lugo
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
17.5%
Seth Lugo
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
30.7%
Seth Lugo
25.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Patrick Corbin
42.1%
Seth Lugo
42.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Patrick Corbin
7.5%
Seth Lugo
7.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Patrick Corbin
.355
Seth Lugo
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Patrick Corbin
2.975.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
5.01
Seth Lugo
2.975.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.74
WHIPlower is better
Patrick Corbin
1.281.51
now 1.36
1.39
Seth Lugo
1.281.51
now 1.35
1.44

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Patrick Corbin
4084
now 36
0
Seth Lugo
4084
now 60
0
Winshigher is better
Patrick Corbin
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Seth Lugo
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellPatrick Corbin — sell.conf 0.90
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.84
Tweet