MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Seth Lugo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Seth Lugo wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Patrick Corbin wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
91.3
Seth Lugo
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
10.0%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
17.5%
Seth Lugo
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Patrick Corbin
30.7%
Seth Lugo
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Patrick Corbin
42.1%
Seth Lugo
44.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Patrick Corbin
7.5%
Seth Lugo
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Patrick Corbin
.356
Seth Lugo
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Patrick Corbin
2.975.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
5.01
Seth Lugo
2.975.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.96
WHIPlower is better
Patrick Corbin
1.281.46
now 1.36
1.39
Seth Lugo
1.281.46
now 1.35
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Patrick Corbin
4069.60
now 36
36
Seth Lugo
4069.60
now 60
46
Winshigher is better
Patrick Corbin
.2003.80
now 2
13
Seth Lugo
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellPatrick Corbin — sell.conf 0.90
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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