MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Mitch Bratt
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mitch Bratt wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Seth Lugo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitch Bratt
91.5
Seth Lugo
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitch Bratt
8.0%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitch Bratt
13.0%
Seth Lugo
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitch Bratt
27.9%
Seth Lugo
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitch Bratt
38.2%
Seth Lugo
44.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitch Bratt
9.1%
Seth Lugo
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitch Bratt
.345
Seth Lugo
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitch Bratt
2.576.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
Seth Lugo
2.576.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.96
WHIPlower is better
Mitch Bratt
1.151.82
now 1.67
1.30
Seth Lugo
1.151.82
now 1.35
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitch Bratt
4082.80
now 3
18
Seth Lugo
4082.80
now 60
46
Winshigher is better
Mitch Bratt
.0002.80
now 0
00
Seth Lugo
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMitch Bratt — hold.conf 0.50
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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