Who's more valuable, rest of season
Adrian Houser.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Seth Lugo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Adrian Houser wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Seth Lugo wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Houser
95.5
Seth Lugo
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
8.5%
Seth Lugo
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
15.5%
Seth Lugo
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
25.2%
Seth Lugo
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
41.0%
Seth Lugo
42.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
9.0%
Seth Lugo
10.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Houser
.345
Seth Lugo
.356
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Houser
2.736.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
4.73
Seth Lugo
2.736.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.98
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Houser
1.271.64
now 1.56
1.38
Seth Lugo
1.271.64
now 1.35
1.39
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Houser
4074.20
now 35
42
Seth Lugo
4074.20
now 60
63
Winshigher is better
Adrian Houser
.2003.80
now 2
1–3
Seth Lugo
.2003.80
now 2
1–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdrian Houser — sell.conf 0.84
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90