MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Seth Lugo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Seth Lugo wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Matthew Liberatore wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
94.4
Seth Lugo
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
10.8%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
21.7%
Seth Lugo
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
29.4%
Seth Lugo
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
43.0%
Seth Lugo
44.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
9.3%
Seth Lugo
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
.350
Seth Lugo
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matthew Liberatore
2.995.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.87
Seth Lugo
2.995.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.96
WHIPlower is better
Matthew Liberatore
1.281.57
now 1.50
1.39
Seth Lugo
1.281.57
now 1.35
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matthew Liberatore
4066
now 57
45
Seth Lugo
4066
now 60
49
Winshigher is better
Matthew Liberatore
.2003.80
now 3
23
Seth Lugo
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatthew Liberatore — sell.conf 0.90
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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