MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Tatsuya Imai
Tatsuya Imai
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Seth Lugo wins 2 (K, WHIP); Tatsuya Imai wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Seth Lugo
91.7
Tatsuya Imai
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Tatsuya Imai
13.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Seth Lugo
18.7%
Tatsuya Imai
27.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Seth Lugo
25.4%
Tatsuya Imai
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Seth Lugo
43.1%
Tatsuya Imai
46.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Seth Lugo
10.0%
Tatsuya Imai
10.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Seth Lugo
.353
Tatsuya Imai
.340
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Seth Lugo
2.766.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.90
Tatsuya Imai
2.766.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.52
4.61
WHIPlower is better
Seth Lugo
1.281.50
now 1.35
1.37
Tatsuya Imai
1.281.50
now 1.36
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Seth Lugo
4082.60
now 60
67
Tatsuya Imai
4082.60
now 28
49
Winshigher is better
Seth Lugo
.0006.60
now 2
13
Tatsuya Imai
.0006.60
now 2
35

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
SellTatsuya Imai — sell.conf 0.79
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