Rest of Season Projection
MatthewCategoryZack
84K ←63
4.82ERA ←5.26
1.39WHIP →1.35
3–6W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
MatthewCategoryZack
57K ←35
4.35ERA ←5.01
1.50WHIP →1.37
3W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matthew Liberatore
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.20 +1.10 vs league with no luck excuse
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.89 is 1.13 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matthew Liberatore: 84 K / 4.82 ERA. Zack Littell: 63 K / 5.26 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).