Rest of Season Projection
PatrickCategoryZack
80K ←72
4.87ERA ←5.39
1.36WHIP ←1.37
3–6W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
PatrickCategoryZack
36K ←35
3.65ERA ←5.01
1.36WHIP ←1.37
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Patrick Corbin
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.28 +1.18 vs league with no luck excuse
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.08 is 1.07 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Patrick Corbin: 80 K / 4.87 ERA. Zack Littell: 72 K / 5.39 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).