Rest of Season Projection
PatrickCategoryRhett
71K ←59
5.10ERA →4.67
1.41WHIP ←1.49
2–5W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
PatrickCategoryRhett
36K ←31
3.65ERA ←5.01
1.36WHIP ←1.45
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Patrick Corbin
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.64 +1.54 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Rhett Lowder
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.98 +0.88 vs league with no luck excuse
Patrick Corbin: 71 K / 5.10 ERA. Rhett Lowder: 59 K / 4.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).