Rest of Season Projection
MilesCategoryZack
58K →63
4.69ERA ←5.58
1.34WHIP ←1.36
1–2W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
MilesCategoryZack
32K →35
6.08ERA →5.01
1.41WHIP →1.37
1W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miles Mikolas
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.01 +0.91 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.37 is 1.05 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Miles Mikolas: 58 K / 4.69 ERA. Zack Littell: 63 K / 5.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).