Rest of Season Projection
KumarCategoryZack
83K ←72
4.44ERA ←5.39
1.42WHIP →1.37
2–5W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
KumarCategoryZack
44K ←35
3.54ERA ←5.01
1.32WHIP ←1.37
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kumar Rocker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.62 is 1.08 above the ERA — regression coming
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.08 is 1.07 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kumar Rocker: 83 K / 4.44 ERA. Zack Littell: 72 K / 5.39 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).