Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryKumar
81K →83
4.61ERA →4.44
1.46WHIP →1.42
4–9W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryKumar
42K →44
4.02ERA →3.54
1.44WHIP →1.32
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.88 +0.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kumar Rocker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.62 is 1.08 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Abbott: 81 K / 4.61 ERA. Kumar Rocker: 83 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).