Rest of Season Projection
KumarCategoryMatthew
81K →88
4.45ERA ←4.83
1.42WHIP →1.38
2–5W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
KumarCategoryMatthew
44K →57
3.54ERA ←4.35
1.32WHIP ←1.50
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kumar Rocker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.64 is 1.10 above the ERA — regression coming
Matthew Liberatore
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.23 +1.13 vs league with no luck excuse
Kumar Rocker: 81 K / 4.45 ERA. Matthew Liberatore: 88 K / 4.83 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).