MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STL · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Liberatore wins 2 (K, W); Shane Bieber wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
94.5
Shane Bieber
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
10.7%
Shane Bieber
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
21.4%
Shane Bieber
17.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
29.2%
Shane Bieber
30.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
42.6%
Shane Bieber
53.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
9.5%
Shane Bieber
11.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
.350
Shane Bieber
.427
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matthew Liberatore
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.86
Shane Bieber
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Matthew Liberatore
1.022.28
now 1.50
1.38
Shane Bieber
1.022.28
now 2.00
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matthew Liberatore
4077.40
now 57
48
Shane Bieber
4077.40
now 6
38
Winshigher is better
Matthew Liberatore
.0005.60
now 3
24
Shane Bieber
.0005.60
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatthew Liberatore — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeShane Bieber — hold.conf 0.50
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