MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matthew Liberatore.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Anthony Kay’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Liberatore wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Anthony Kay wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Anthony Kay
95.8
Matthew Liberatore
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
10.4%
Matthew Liberatore
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
18.0%
Matthew Liberatore
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
32.0%
Matthew Liberatore
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
39.7%
Matthew Liberatore
42.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
8.6%
Matthew Liberatore
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Anthony Kay
.352
Matthew Liberatore
.350
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Anthony Kay
3.315.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.91
Matthew Liberatore
3.315.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.87
WHIPlower is better
Anthony Kay
1.311.57
now 1.40
1.39
Matthew Liberatore
1.311.57
now 1.50
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Anthony Kay
4064.20
now 42
39
Matthew Liberatore
4064.20
now 57
47
Winshigher is better
Anthony Kay
.4007.60
now 5
36
Matthew Liberatore
.4007.60
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.90
SellMatthew Liberatore — sell.conf 0.90
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