Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryZack
81K ←72
4.61ERA ←5.39
1.46WHIP →1.37
4–9W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryZack
42K ←35
4.02ERA ←5.01
1.44WHIP →1.37
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.88 +0.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.08 is 1.07 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Abbott: 81 K / 4.61 ERA. Zack Littell: 72 K / 5.39 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).