Rest of Season Projection
BubbaCategoryZack
100K ←68
4.33ERA ←5.40
1.51WHIP →1.37
1–3W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
BubbaCategoryZack
52K ←35
4.85ERA ←5.01
1.52WHIP →1.37
1W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bubba Chandler
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.45 +0.35 vs league with no luck excuse
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.10 is 1.09 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Bubba Chandler: 100 K / 4.33 ERA. Zack Littell: 68 K / 5.40 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).