Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryZack
86K ←70
5.50ERA →5.39
1.42WHIP →1.37
6–13W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
KyleCategoryZack
46K ←35
4.25ERA ←5.01
1.56WHIP →1.37
5W5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Leahy
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.25 +2.15 vs league with no luck excuse
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.09 is 1.08 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kyle Leahy: 86 K / 5.50 ERA. Zack Littell: 70 K / 5.39 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).