Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryZack
82K ←70
4.59ERA ←5.39
1.47WHIP →1.37
5–10W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryZack
36K ←35
5.06ERA →5.01
1.58WHIP →1.37
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Bassitt
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.09 is 1.08 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chris Bassitt: 82 K / 4.59 ERA. Zack Littell: 70 K / 5.39 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).