week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL
Bubba Chandler
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL on July 18, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.10); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 56ERA 4.10WHIP 1.48W 1–1SV 0
Chandler is a hold — league average across the board.
ROS projects K 52 YTD → 56 ROS, ERA 4.85 YTD → 4.10 ROS, WHIP 1.52 YTD → 1.48 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %20.2%—−2.9% ▼vs his ~23.1% career norm
- Walk %13.1%—+2.0% ▲vs his ~11.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.10)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
275 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
275 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.314
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
421 / 200 TBF
xERA4.10
lg avg 4.10 0.00vs his norm —
421 / 200 TBF
ERA4.77
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.67vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
94.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.8%vs his norm −2.9% ▼
421 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm +2.0% ▲
421 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.273
lg avg .295 ▼−.022vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
275 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
421 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
421 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo98.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+4.5 mphvs his norm —
1632 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.2%→21.1%signal56 K — K% 20.2% (signal) lifted to career ~23.1% → projected 21.1% over ~53 remaining IP.
xERA 4.10signal4.10 ERA — xERA 4.10 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 52 IP.
BB% 13.1% + contactsignal1.48 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.287 gives a 1.57 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop56 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.