Rest of Season Projection
ColemanCategoryZack
47K →68
4.10ERA ←5.40
1.30WHIP ←1.37
0–0W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
ColemanCategoryZack
8K →35
3.14ERA ←5.01
0.98WHIP ←1.37
0W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Coleman Crow
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.51)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.10 is 1.09 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Coleman Crow: 47 K / 4.10 ERA. Zack Littell: 68 K / 5.40 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).