Rest of Season Projection
CamCategorySeth
114K ←90
2.75ERA ←4.86
1.05WHIP ←1.36
6–14W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategorySeth
81K ←60
1.50ERA ←3.55
0.85WHIP ←1.35
7W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Seth Lugo
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.27 +1.17 vs league with no luck excuse
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Seth Lugo: 92 K / 4.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).