MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Rogers.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP and wins. Tyler Mahle’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trevor Rogers wins 2 categories (WHIP, W); Tyler Mahle wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
93.4
Tyler Mahle
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
11.8%
Tyler Mahle
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
18.1%
Tyler Mahle
22.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
33.1%
Tyler Mahle
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Trevor Rogers
39.0%
Tyler Mahle
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Trevor Rogers
6.8%
Tyler Mahle
7.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Trevor Rogers
.315
Tyler Mahle
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Trevor Rogers
3.057.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.84
4.13
Tyler Mahle
3.057.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
4.13
WHIPlower is better
Trevor Rogers
1.291.64
now 1.56
1.37
Tyler Mahle
1.291.64
now 1.54
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Trevor Rogers
4077.20
now 38
52
Tyler Mahle
4077.20
now 57
66
Winshigher is better
Trevor Rogers
.2003.80
now 2
23
Tyler Mahle
.2003.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyTrevor Rogers — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowTyler Mahle — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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