Rest of Season Projection
FramberCategoryTyler
87K →94
4.41ERA →4.05
1.38WHIP1.38
2–4W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
FramberCategoryTyler
54K →57
4.39ERA ←6.04
1.32WHIP ←1.54
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Framber Valdez
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.58 +0.48 vs league with no luck excuse
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Framber Valdez: 88 K / 4.39 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).