Rest of Season Projection
GageCategoryTyler
69K →94
4.10ERA →4.05
1.30WHIP ←1.38
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
GageCategoryTyler
5K →57
7.20ERA →6.04
2.00WHIP →1.54
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gage Jump
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.47)
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gage Jump: 69 K / 4.10 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).