Rest of Season Projection
EdwardCategoryTyler
91K →94
4.55ERA →4.05
1.36WHIP ←1.38
3–7W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
EdwardCategoryTyler
53K →57
4.99ERA ←6.04
1.42WHIP ←1.54
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Edward Cabrera
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.80 +0.70 vs league with no luck excuse
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Edward Cabrera: 93 K / 4.45 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).