Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryTyler
66K →94
4.28ERA →4.05
1.35WHIP ←1.38
4–8W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryTyler
33K →57
3.35ERA ←6.04
1.37WHIP ←1.54
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Young
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.37 is 1.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brandon Young: 67 K / 4.27 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).